Longview Eviction Risk: Elevated

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $52,500, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Cowlitz County average of 5.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cowlitz County average of 40.6%.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 90 filings here across 11 tracked years.

The voucher gap is 12.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2014 at 3.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.