3 census tracts · pop 14,102 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10
· range 5.3–7.1
Pace Manor spans 3 census tracts of East Wenatchee, WA, population 14,102. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. 42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the East Wenatchee rate of 28.6%.
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 5.3 to 7.1. A 1.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.8/10. Court records carry 379 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 4.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 0.5% in 2018, is well off that peak.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent runs $1,374, close to the East Wenatchee average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $78,863.
43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Pace Manor vs East WenatcheeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.9%+47%
East Wenatchee: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$1,374+4%
East Wenatchee: $1,327
Average HH income
$78,863-3%
East Wenatchee: $81,050
Poverty rate
6.6%-7%
East Wenatchee: 7.1%
Renter share
43.0%+5%
East Wenatchee: 41.0%
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pace Manor and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.3–7.1
Why Pace Manor scores 5.9
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
6.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.0 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–5.3 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison
Pace Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Variance across tracts
How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Pace Manor?
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.
Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from
5.3 to
7.1.
Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Pace Manor
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
379Total filings (sum)
1.30%Avg annual filing rate
4.1%Peak year (2003)
0.49%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked
About Pace Manor
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Pace Manor?
Pace Manor scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Pace Manor compare to East Wenatchee overall?
Pace Manor scores 0.0 points higher than East Wenatchee overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,374 vs $1,327.
Q3
What is the average rent in Pace Manor?
Average gross rent in Pace Manor is $1,374/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Pace Manor residents are renters?
43% of Pace Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in East Wenatchee). The neighborhood has 14,102 residents.
Q5
Is Pace Manor a high social-vulnerability area?
Pace Manor sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Pace Manor have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Pace Manor is census tract 53017950500 (score 7.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 7.1, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Pace Manor for landlords?
Pace Manor carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to East Wenatchee as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Pace Manor?
Pace Manor has 14,046 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.9%), Hispanic / Latino (40.4%), Other / Multiracial (3.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
