Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Ballinger Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest Park
Tract 53033020402 ·
King County, WA · pop 5,400 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 53033020402 in the Ballinger area of Lake Forest Park, WA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 15%Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,246
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$121,484
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Ballinger
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Lake Forest Park
Very High
Within county
10th percentile
#447 of 494 tracts In King County
Very Low
Within state
29th percentile
#1,255 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest Park and the region
Centroid at 47.7695, -122.2970 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ballinger scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,210 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
4.0
How Ballinger compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
34%Socioeconomic
14%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
83Total filings over 10 yrs
1.21%Avg annual filing rate
1.6%Peak (2004)
6Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2013
Filings dropped 50% over the past 10 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ballinger
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. It sits 1.9 points below the King County average of 6.7. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.3/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.6/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 44.1% across King County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 83 filings here across 10 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 1.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033020402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033020402?
Census tract 53033020402 in the Ballinger neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033020402?
Median gross rent is $2,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033020402?
4.6% of residents in tract 53033020402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,400.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033020402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 14th, minority 36th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 53033020402 considered part of Ballinger?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033020402 fall within Ballinger (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033020402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033020402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.21% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033020402 compare to Lake Forest Park overall?
Tract 53033020402 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest Park at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest Park
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.