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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Central Business District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seattle

Tract 53033008200 · King County, WA · pop 4,567 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 53033008200 covers part of the Central Business District area of Seattle, WA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 55% Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,986
Renter share88.6%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$135,931

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Central Business District
Very Low
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 177 tracts In Seattle
Low
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#180 of 494 tracts In King County
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#348 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6103, -122.3319 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Business District scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,404 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5

How Central Business District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Business District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 008200Seattle: 7.97.9Seattleparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 319Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 1.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.8%Peak (2006)
  • 23Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530330082002004: 44 filings (2.68/100 renter HHs)2005: 29 filings (1.77/100 renter HHs)2006: 46 filings (2.81/100 renter HHs)2007: 42 filings (2.57/100 renter HHs)2008: 33 filings (2.02/100 renter HHs)2009: 34 filings (2.08/100 renter HHs)2010: 26 filings (1.30/100 renter HHs)2011: 24 filings (1.09/100 renter HHs)2012: 18 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Business District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Business District

89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Disability prevalence runs 17.7% against 31.5% nationally.

Against King County at 44.1%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $2,404 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Seattle commands. Court records carry 319 eviction filings across 10 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 2.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Seattle. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033008200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033008200?

Census tract 53033008200 in the Central Business District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53033008200?

Median gross rent is $2,404/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033008200?

8.0% of residents in tract 53033008200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,567.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033008200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 8th, minority 62th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 53033008200 considered part of Central Business District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033008200 fall within Central Business District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033008200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 319 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033008200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.82% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53033008200 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033008200 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 53033008200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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