Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally
South Seattle Eviction Risk: High
Tract 53033010402 · King County, WA · pop 4,768 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 53033010402 covers part of the South Seattle area of Seattle, WA, and scores 8.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,768. 14% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the King County average of 44.1%.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,613
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$96,891
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seattle and the region
Centroid at 47.5539, -122.3101 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Seattle scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,128 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5
How South Seattle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 88%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 57Total filings over 10 yrs
- 1.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2011)
- 9Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 125% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Seattle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Seattle
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Against the King County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 57 filings here across 10 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 1.5% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033010402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033010402?
Census tract 53033010402 in the South Seattle neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033010402?
Median gross rent is $2,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033010402?
10.2% of residents in tract 53033010402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,768.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033010402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 52th, minority 84th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 53033010402 considered part of South Seattle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033010402 fall within South Seattle (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033010402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033010402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.11% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033010402 compare to Seattle overall?
Tract 53033010402 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 53033010402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seattle
Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
NewHolly
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Licton Springs
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Rainier Vista
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Kenwood
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
South Park
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Pinehurst
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Little Saigon
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
West Campus
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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