Uptown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seattle

84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Disability prevalence runs 15.7% against 31.5% nationally.

36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the King County average of 44.1%. Against the King County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

At $2,215 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Seattle commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Seattle. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.