Lacey Eviction Risk: Elevated

The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $49,218, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

It sits 2.0 points above the Thurston County average of 5.8. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,564, 16% below the Lacey average. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.