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Neighborhood · Bellingham, WA

Birchwood Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,970 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.8–6.1

Birchwood is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bellingham with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,970 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 66% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,432/month sits 9% lower than the Bellingham citywide median ($1,577).

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Birchwood vs Bellingham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.6% +76%
Bellingham: 37.2%
Average gross rent
$1,432 -9%
Bellingham: $1,577
Average HH income
$57,936 -12%
Bellingham: $65,821
Poverty rate
21.1% +15%
Bellingham: 18.3%
Renter share
55.7% +1%
Bellingham: 55.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Birchwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.8–6.1

Why Birchwood scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 9.4–9.4 across tracts
9.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Economic stress
21.1% below poverty line · Range 4.0–7.1 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.9 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Birchwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Birchwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Birchwood: 5.95.9BirchwoodNeighborhoodParent city: 5.45.4Parent cityhost cityState: 5.75.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Birchwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53073000302 6.1 3,269 67% $1,454
53073000301 5.8 4,701 65% $1,417
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 49%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Birchwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Birchwood?

Birchwood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Birchwood compare to Bellingham overall?

Birchwood scores 0.5 points higher than Bellingham overall (5.4/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Median rent: $1,432 vs $1,577.

Q3

What is the average rent in Birchwood?

Median gross rent in Birchwood is $1,432/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Birchwood residents are renters?

56% of Birchwood households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Bellingham). The neighborhood has 7,970 residents.

Q5

Is Birchwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Birchwood sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Birchwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Birchwood is census tract 53073000302 (score 6.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 6.1 — a spread of 0.3 points.

Q7

How safe is Birchwood for landlords?

Birchwood carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bellingham as a whole (5.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Birchwood?

Birchwood has 8,209 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74%), Hispanic / Latino (16.8%), Other / Multiracial (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Birchwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bellingham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Birchwood.

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