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Neighborhood · Bellingham, WA

Lakeway Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 7,341 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10 · range 5.9–8.7

Lakeway spans 2 census tracts of Bellingham, WA and houses 7,341 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.6/10, in the Elevated tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.9 to 8.7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10. Cost burden runs 45% against 37.2% citywide, putting Lakeway 7.4% over its own city. On the high side is housing-court posture at 8.1/10.

At $1,456 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Bellingham commands. That places it #7 of 13 neighborhoods in Bellingham. For a like-for-like read, Edgemoor and Cornwall Park score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $80,590. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lakeway vs Bellingham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.6% +20%
Bellingham: 37.2%
Average gross rent
$1,456 -8%
Bellingham: $1,577
Average HH income
$80,590 +22%
Bellingham: $65,821
Poverty rate
11.2% -39%
Bellingham: 18.3%
Renter share
45.5% -18%
Bellingham: 55.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeway and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.9–8.7

Why Lakeway scores 7.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
46% renter households · Range 9.4–9.4 across tracts
9.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Economic stress
11.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.2 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Lakeway vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lakeway score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.6LakewayNeighborhood7.3Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lakeway

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53073000903 8.7 4,450 64% $1,467
53073000904 5.9 2,891 16% $1,439
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 21%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Lakeway

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lakeway?

Lakeway scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lakeway compare to Bellingham overall?

Lakeway scores 0.3 points higher than Bellingham overall (7.3/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,456 vs $1,577.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lakeway?

Average gross rent in Lakeway is $1,456/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lakeway residents are renters?

46% of Lakeway households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Bellingham). The neighborhood has 7,341 residents.
Q5

Is Lakeway a high social-vulnerability area?

Lakeway sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lakeway have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lakeway is census tract 53073000903 (score 8.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 8.7, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Lakeway for landlords?

Lakeway carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bellingham as a whole (7.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lakeway?

Lakeway has 7,138 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.2%), Hispanic / Latino (11.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lakeway

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bellingham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lakeway.

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