The Flatts Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 47%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is a renter market: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. SNAP participation is 27.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

15.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.6/10. Average gross rent is $809, 14% below the Morgantown average of $937.

Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Morgantown, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Jerome Park and Woodburn score within a fraction of it.

One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.