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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Swan Creek of Nine Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fitchburg

Tract 55025001405 · Dane County, WI · pop 4,025 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 55025001405 sits in the Swan Creek of Nine Springs area of Fitchburg eviction risk, WI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. It is home to 4,025 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 30% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,300
Renter share59.7%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$79,214

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Swan Creek of Nine Springs
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Fitchburg
Very High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#35 of 125 tracts In Dane County
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#245 of 1,528 tracts In Wisconsin
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fitchburg and the region

Centroid at 43.0202, -89.4011 · click any tract to drill in

Why Swan Creek of Nine Springs scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fitchburg
7.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,354 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fitchburg
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fitchburg
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fitchburg
5.2

How Swan Creek of Nine Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Swan Creek of Nine Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0014054.5Fitchburgparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Swan Creek of Nine Springs

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 50% here against 41.3% across Dane County. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.9/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.6/10. Against the Dane County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WI average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,354, close to the Fitchburg average.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $79,214. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 55025001405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55025001405?

Census tract 55025001405 in the Swan Creek of Nine Springs neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 55025001405?

Median gross rent is $1,354/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 55025001405?

11.6% of residents in tract 55025001405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,025.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 55025001405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 4th, minority 52th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 55025001405 considered part of Swan Creek of Nine Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55025001405 fall within Swan Creek of Nine Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 55025001405 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 55025001405 compare to Fitchburg overall?

Tract 55025001405 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Fitchburg at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fitchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fitchburg

Top eight tracts in Fitchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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