Tonyawatha Eviction Risk: Lower , Monona

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.9/10. Against the Dane County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 139 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2002 at 3.0% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Madison. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.