Capitol Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 27.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 25%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

18.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 500 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 14.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 9.5% in 2017 against a 14.3% peak. Among the 53 mapped neighborhoods of Milwaukee, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Silverswan and West End score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,088, close to the Milwaukee average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $49,867.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.