Silverswan Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milwaukee

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.1/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Housing insecurity runs 28.8% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.3 points above the Milwaukee County average of 4.5. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 2,917 evictions over 13 years of observation. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Milwaukee County average of 45.8%.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 21.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 20.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WI average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.