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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oxford

Tract 01015001201 · Calhoun County, AL · pop 3,064 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

How risky is the Forest Hills area of Oxford for landlords? Census tract 01015001201 scores 4.6/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 27% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $774 monthly, set against $42,923 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 21% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,223
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$42,923

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Forest Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Oxford
High
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 38 tracts In Calhoun County
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#598 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oxford and the region

Centroid at 33.6084, -85.8515 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Hills scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oxford
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$774 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oxford
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oxford
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oxford
5.3

How Forest Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 001201Oxford: 2.22.2Oxfordparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 264Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 3.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2013)
  • 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 010150012012001: 10 filings (2.14/100 renter HHs)2002: 8 filings (1.71/100 renter HHs)2003: 9 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2007: 24 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (3.13/100 renter HHs)2009: 20 filings (3.92/100 renter HHs)2010: 26 filings (4.95/100 renter HHs)2011: 24 filings (3.59/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2013: 31 filings (4.64/100 renter HHs)2014: 17 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)2015: 20 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2016: 22 filings (4.48/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 120% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oxford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Calhoun County average of 4.7 and in line with the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 264 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 3.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01015001201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01015001201?

Census tract 01015001201 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01015001201?

Median gross rent is $774/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01015001201?

17.2% of residents in tract 01015001201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,064.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01015001201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 67th, minority 59th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 01015001201 considered part of Forest Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01015001201 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01015001201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 264 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 01015001201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.36% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01015001201 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01015001201 compare to Oxford overall?

Tract 01015001201 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Oxford at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oxford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oxford

Top eight tracts in Oxford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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