Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oxford
Tract 01015001202 · Calhoun County, AL · pop 4,311 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
01015001202 is a census tract in the Forest Hills area of Oxford, AL. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,311. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,819
Renter share23.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$65,257
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oxford and the region
Centroid at 33.6102, -85.8786 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oxford
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,078 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oxford
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oxford
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oxford
5.3
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 120Total filings over 14 yrs
- 2.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2014)
- 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.1%Housing insecurity
- 12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.5%Food insecurity
- 20.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 42.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
Cost burden runs 55% here against 38.6% across Calhoun County. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.7/10.
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.5/10.
At $1,078 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Oxford commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 120 filings here across 14 tracked years.
The voucher gap is 14.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 25.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 7.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 01015001202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01015001202?
Census tract 01015001202 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01015001202?
Median gross rent is $1,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01015001202?
29.9% of residents in tract 01015001202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,311.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01015001202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 70th, minority 51th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 01015001202 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01015001202 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01015001202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 120 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 01015001202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.76% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 01015001202 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 01015001202 compare to Oxford overall?
Tract 01015001202 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Oxford at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oxford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oxford
Top eight tracts in Oxford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AL
Lakeview
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
Forest Hills
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AL
01015001501
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AL
01015001103
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AL
01015981901
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AL
01015001101
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AL
01015001502
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AL
01015002001
3
/ 10 · Low
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