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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Vestavia Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Vestavia Hills

Tract 01073012914 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 2,082 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 01073012914 belongs to the Vestavia Lake neighborhood of Vestavia Hills, Alabama. It is home to 2,082 residents and scores 6.3/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 60% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,046 monthly, set against $62,222 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 15% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,020
Renter share57.0%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$62,222

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Vestavia Lake
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Vestavia Hills
Very High
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#106 of 189 tracts In Jefferson County
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#846 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vestavia Hills and the region

Centroid at 33.4536, -86.7958 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vestavia Lake scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vestavia Hills
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$2,046 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vestavia Hills
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vestavia Hills
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vestavia Hills
5.6

How Vestavia Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vestavia Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 012914Vestavia Hills: 2.22.2Vestavia Hillsparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 28Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 0.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2012)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 010730129142000: 2 filings (0.52/100 renter HHs)2001: 2 filings (0.52/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (0.79/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (0.69/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (1.30/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (0.43/100 renter HHs)2014: 1 filings (0.22/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (0.22/100 renter HHs)2016: 5 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vestavia Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vestavia Lake

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Vestavia Hills eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.3 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 01073012914

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073012914?

Census tract 01073012914 in the Vestavia Lake neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01073012914?

Median gross rent is $2,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01073012914?

20.7% of residents in tract 01073012914 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,082.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01073012914?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 24th, minority 16th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 01073012914 considered part of Vestavia Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073012914 fall within Vestavia Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073012914?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073012914 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.57% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01073012914 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01073012914 compare to Vestavia Hills overall?

Tract 01073012914 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Vestavia Hills at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vestavia Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 01073012914 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vestavia Hills

Top eight tracts in Vestavia Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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