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Neighborhood · Vestavia Hills, AL

Vestavia Lake Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 10,444 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–4.8

Vestavia Lake is a 3-tract neighborhood of Vestavia Hills, AL, population 10,444. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.6/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 56% against 33.2% citywide, putting Vestavia Lake 22.6% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.7/10.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.8. A 1.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The voucher gap is 19.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Filings are well documented here: 81 across 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 3.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.1% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #1 of 8 neighborhoods in Vestavia Hills.

Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Crossgate and Liberty Park score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 12% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Vestavia Lake vs Vestavia Hills How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.8% +68%
Vestavia Hills: 33.2%
Average gross rent
$1,508 0%
Vestavia Hills: $1,515
Average HH income
$152,540 +18%
Vestavia Hills: $129,171
Poverty rate
17.2% +91%
Vestavia Hills: 9.0%
Renter share
20.7% -6%
Vestavia Hills: 22.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Vestavia Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–4.8

Why Vestavia Lake scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 6.2–6.7 across tracts
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 5.5–7.5 across tracts
5.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.6 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
17.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–7.0 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–10.0 across tracts
6.7
Risk score comparison

Vestavia Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Vestavia Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6Vestavia LakeNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Vestavia Lake?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 3 to 4.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Vestavia Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
01073012914 4.8 2,082 74% $2,046
01073012905 3.5 4,655 58% $1,159
01073012921 3 3,707 43% $1,644
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 21%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 13%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Vestavia Lake

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 81Total filings (sum)
  • 1.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak year (2012)
  • 1.14%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Vestavia Lake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Vestavia Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Vestavia Lake?

Vestavia Lake scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Vestavia Lake compare to Vestavia Hills overall?

Vestavia Lake scores 0.1 points lower than Vestavia Hills overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,508 vs $1,515.
Q3

What is the average rent in Vestavia Lake?

Average gross rent in Vestavia Lake is $1,508/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Vestavia Lake residents are renters?

21% of Vestavia Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Vestavia Hills). The neighborhood has 10,444 residents.
Q5

Is Vestavia Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Vestavia Lake sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Vestavia Lake have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Vestavia Lake is census tract 01073012914 (score 4.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.8, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Vestavia Lake for landlords?

Vestavia Lake carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Vestavia Hills as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Vestavia Lake?

Vestavia Lake has 12,603 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Vestavia Lake

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Vestavia Hills

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Vestavia Lake.

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