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Neighborhood · Mobile, AL

Orange Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 2,319 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.1–5.5

Orange Grove is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mobile with 2 census tracts and a population of 2,319 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $823/month sits 23% lower than the Mobile citywide average ($1,068).

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Orange Grove vs Mobile How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.9% +82%
Mobile: 33.0%
Average gross rent
$823 -23%
Mobile: $1,068
Average HH income
$25,806 -49%
Mobile: $51,090
Poverty rate
35.5% +88%
Mobile: 18.9%
Renter share
79.2% +72%
Mobile: 46.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.1–5.5

Why Orange Grove scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
79% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
35.5% below poverty line · Range 5.3–10.0 across tracts
6.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Orange Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Orange Grove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Orange Grove: 5.25.2Orange GroveNeighborhoodParent city: 2.82.8Parent cityhost cityState: 2.42.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Orange Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
01097000402 5.5 796 61% $495
01097000401 5.1 1,523 60% $994
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 100%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Orange Grove

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 808Total filings (sum)
  • 8.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.2%Peak year (2002)
  • 6.12%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Orange Grove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Orange Grove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Orange Grove?

Orange Grove scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Orange Grove compare to Mobile overall?

Orange Grove scores 2.4 points higher than Mobile overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $823 vs $1,068.
Q3

What is the average rent in Orange Grove?

Average gross rent in Orange Grove is $823/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Orange Grove residents are renters?

79% of Orange Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Mobile). The neighborhood has 2,319 residents.
Q5

Is Orange Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Orange Grove sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Orange Grove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Orange Grove is census tract 01097000402 (score 5.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.5, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Orange Grove for landlords?

Orange Grove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mobile as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Orange Grove?

Orange Grove has 2,235 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (99.6%), Other / Multiracial (0.3%), Hispanic / Latino (0.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orange Grove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mobile

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orange Grove.

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