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Neighborhood · Mobile, AL

Orange Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 2,319 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.8–5

Orange Grove is a 2-tract neighborhood of Mobile, AL, population 2,319. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.9/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Mobile baseline of 33.0%, 60% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

40.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $25,806 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 36%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is a renter market: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

At $823 a month, rents sit 23% under what the rest of Mobile commands. Court records carry 808 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. 20.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 27.2% of renter households.

On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 6.8% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Mobile, it ranks #5 by risk, the upper third.

With little internal variation, 4.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Orange Grove vs Mobile How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.9% +82%
Mobile: 33.0%
Average gross rent
$823 -23%
Mobile: $1,068
Average HH income
$25,806 -49%
Mobile: $51,090
Poverty rate
35.5% +88%
Mobile: 18.9%
Renter share
79.2% +72%
Mobile: 46.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.8–5

Why Orange Grove scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
79% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
35.5% below poverty line · Range 5.3–10.0 across tracts
6.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Orange Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Orange Grove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Orange GroveNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Orange Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
01097000402 5 796 61% $495
01097000401 4.8 1,523 60% $994
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 100%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Orange Grove

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 808Total filings (sum)
  • 8.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.2%Peak year (2002)
  • 6.12%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Orange Grove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Orange Grove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Orange Grove?

Orange Grove scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Orange Grove compare to Mobile overall?

Orange Grove scores 1.3 points higher than Mobile overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $823 vs $1,068.
Q3

What is the average rent in Orange Grove?

Average gross rent in Orange Grove is $823/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Orange Grove residents are renters?

79% of Orange Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Mobile). The neighborhood has 2,319 residents.
Q5

Is Orange Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Orange Grove sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Orange Grove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Orange Grove is census tract 01097000402 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 5, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Orange Grove for landlords?

Orange Grove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mobile as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Orange Grove?

Orange Grove has 2,235 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (99.6%), Other / Multiracial (0.3%), Hispanic / Latino (0.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orange Grove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mobile

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orange Grove.

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