Skip to content
Neighborhood · Mobile, AL

Toulminville Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 5,204 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 4.5–6

Toulminville spans 3 census tracts of Mobile, AL, population 5,204. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5/10, in the Moderate tier. SNAP participation is 35.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 20.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.5 to 6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.4/10.

At $841 a month, rents sit 21% under what the rest of Mobile commands. 39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Mobile rate of 33.0%.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. Filings are well documented here: 319 across 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 14.6% of renter households.

Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7/10. The most recent observed rate, 3.6% in 2016, is well off that peak.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Toulminville vs Mobile How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.2% +19%
Mobile: 33.0%
Average gross rent
$841 -21%
Mobile: $1,068
Average HH income
$37,079 -27%
Mobile: $51,090
Poverty rate
28.0% +48%
Mobile: 18.9%
Renter share
55.6% +21%
Mobile: 46.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toulminville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.5–6

Why Toulminville scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–5.0 across tracts
4.6
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 1.0–8.6 across tracts
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–3.5 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 3.0–8.8 across tracts
4.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–8.9 across tracts
4.1
Economic stress
28.0% below poverty line · Range 5.0–9.3 across tracts
7.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.3 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Toulminville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Toulminville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Toulminville: 5.05.0ToulminvilleNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.73.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Toulminville?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 4.5 to 6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Toulminville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
01097007700 6 992 24% $645
01097000701 5 1,711 45% $1,020
01097000702 4.5 2,501 41% $797
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 99%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Toulminville

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 319Total filings (sum)
  • 3.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.6%Peak year (2002)
  • 3.60%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Toulminville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Toulminville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Toulminville?

Toulminville scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Toulminville compare to Mobile overall?

Toulminville scores 1.4 points higher than Mobile overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $841 vs $1,068.
Q3

What is the average rent in Toulminville?

Average gross rent in Toulminville is $841/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Toulminville residents are renters?

56% of Toulminville households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Mobile). The neighborhood has 5,204 residents.
Q5

Is Toulminville a high social-vulnerability area?

Toulminville sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Toulminville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Toulminville is census tract 01097007700 (score 6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 6, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Toulminville for landlords?

Toulminville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mobile as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Toulminville?

Toulminville has 5,038 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (98.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (0.7%), Other / Multiracial (0.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Toulminville

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mobile

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Toulminville.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further