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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Spenard Eviction Risk: Moderate , Anchorage

Tract 02020002000 · Anchorage Municipality, AK · pop 3,386 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

02020002000 is a census tract in the Spenard area of Anchorage, AK. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,386 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 45% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,570
Renter share77.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$69,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Spenard
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 61 tracts In Anchorage
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 61 tracts In Anchorage Municipality
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 177 tracts In Alaska
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Anchorage and the region

Centroid at 61.1880, -149.9056 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spenard scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Anchorage
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Alaska legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,161 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Anchorage
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Anchorage
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Anchorage
3.5

How Spenard compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spenard risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 002000Anchorage: 3.73.7Anchorageparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Spenard. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spenard

This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,161, 22% below the Anchorage average. Against the Anchorage Municipality average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 21.7% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AK average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 02020002000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 02020002000?

Census tract 02020002000 in the Spenard neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 02020002000?

Median gross rent is $1,161/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 02020002000?

25.1% of residents in tract 02020002000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,386.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 02020002000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 69th, minority 75th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 02020002000 considered part of Spenard?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 02020002000 fall within Spenard (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 02020002000 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 02020002000 compare to Anchorage overall?

Tract 02020002000 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Anchorage at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Anchorage eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Anchorage

Top eight tracts in Anchorage ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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