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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Spenard Eviction Risk: Moderate , Anchorage

Tract 02020002202 · Anchorage Municipality, AK · pop 2,802 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 02020002202 sits in the Spenard area of Anchorage eviction risk, AK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 2,802. Cost burden runs 29% here against 44.0% across Anchorage Municipality.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 43% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,318
Renter share61.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$93,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Spenard
High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 61 tracts In Anchorage
High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 61 tracts In Anchorage Municipality
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 177 tracts In Alaska
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Anchorage and the region

Centroid at 61.1886, -149.9376 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spenard scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Anchorage
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Alaska legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,246 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Anchorage
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Anchorage
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Anchorage
3.5

How Spenard compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spenard risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 002202Anchorage: 3.73.7Anchorageparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Spenard. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spenard

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Average gross rent is $1,246, 16% below the Anchorage average. Against the Anchorage Municipality average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3/10.

Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $93,889, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the AK average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 02020002202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 02020002202?

Census tract 02020002202 in the Spenard neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 02020002202?

Median gross rent is $1,246/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 02020002202?

18.4% of residents in tract 02020002202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,802.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 02020002202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 79th, minority 66th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 02020002202 considered part of Spenard?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 02020002202 fall within Spenard (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 02020002202 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 02020002202 compare to Anchorage overall?

Tract 02020002202 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Anchorage at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Anchorage eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Anchorage

Top eight tracts in Anchorage ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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