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Mill Bay, Alaska eviction risk overview
City brief · 3,654 residents

Mill Bay, AK Eviction Risk: LOW

Kodiak Island Borough · Population 3,654

In 2026
Risk score
2.8
LOW

27th percentile, Alaska.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average2.6 Now2.8
4.3 2.3 1976 · score 2.3 1977 · score 2.4 1978 · score 2.4 1979 · score 2.4 1980 · score 2.5 1981 · score 2.4 1982 · score 2.5 1983 · score 2.5 1984 · score 2.5 1985 · score 2.5 1986 · score 2.5 1987 · score 2.5 1988 · score 2.4 1989 · score 2.3 1990 · score 2.4 1991 · score 2.4 1992 · score 2.5 1993 · score 2.4 1994 · score 2.5 1995 · score 2.5 1996 · score 2.4 1997 · score 2.4 1998 · score 2.3 1999 · score 2.3 2000 · score 2.4 2001 · score 2.4 2002 · score 2.4 2003 · score 2.5 2004 · score 2.4 2005 · score 2.4 2006 · score 2.4 2007 · score 2.4 2008 · score 2.5 2009 · score 2.6 2010 · score 2.6 2011 · score 2.6 2012 · score 2.6 2013 · score 2.7 2014 · score 2.7 2015 · score 2.7 2016 · score 2.7 2017 · score 2.7 2018 · score 2.7 2019 · score 2.8 2020 · score 4.0 2021 · score 4.3 2022 · score 3.3 2023 · score 3.0 2024 · score 2.8 2025 · score 2.8 2026 · score 2.8

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 1.8 Regional 3.7 State 2.2 Economic 3.3 Supply 6.8 Rent Control 4.4 Eviction 2.1 Tenant 3.7 Housing 3.9 2.8 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    1.8
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    3.7
  3. State political climate
    Alaska legislature & governorship
    2.2
  4. Economic stress
    5.7% poverty · 0.9% unemp.
    3.3
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,710 average · 16.9% renters
    6.8
  6. Rent Control risk
    35.1% of income on rent
    4.4
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    41 days filing → judgment
    2.1
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    16.9% renters
    3.7
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Bay and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Mill Bay compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Kodiak Island Borough
Very Low
#10 of 12 cities
Rank in county, 18th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 12 cities in Kodiak Island Borough for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Alaska
Low
#273 of 353 cities
Rank in state, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#273 of 353 cities in Alaska for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Mill Bay risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Mill Bay: 2.82.8Mill BayThis cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.8
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.8/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 41d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,710/mo. A contested eviction takes 41 days and costs $1,393–$4,224 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 16.9%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 3,654 residents, 16.9% rent. 35% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 5.7% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 2.8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 1.8 and 3.7. State climate at 2.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 2.1, housing court bias 3.9, rent-control risk 4.4. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-2.9 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.3. Supply constraint: 6.8. The numbers behind those: 5.7% poverty, 0.9% unemployment, 35% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Mill Bay sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Anchorage, AK · 43d · ~$3.0k all-in ($70/day) · score 3.6 Anchorage Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Mill Bay
Mill Bay · 41d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 2.8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Mill Bay, AK

Landlording in Mill Bay, Alaska, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.8/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Mill Bay is a city of 3,654 residents where 16.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 35.1% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,710/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Mill Bay eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 2.1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Mill Bay closes 41 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Mill Bay's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Mill Bay runs $1,393 to $4,224 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 41 days of typical timeline and $2,710/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.7/10 in Mill Bay, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Alaska, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Mill Bay: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Alaska's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $4,224 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Mill Bay

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 41 days and roughly $4,224 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $1,689 to $2,534 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under AS 34.03 URLTA.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Mill Bay for no reason?

In Alaska, there is no statewide just-cause requirement for evictions. For a month-to-month tenancy, you can terminate the lease with proper 30-day notice without needing a specific reason. For a fixed-term lease, you generally need a lease violation or the term to end.

Q2

What's the shortest notice I can give for non-payment of rent in Mill Bay?

For non-payment of rent, Alaska law requires a 7-day pay-or-quit notice. The tenant has seven days to pay the overdue rent or move out before you can file an eviction lawsuit.

Q3

How much can I charge for a security deposit in Mill Bay?

You can charge up to 2.00 months' rent for a security deposit in Mill Bay, as per Alaska state law. For a $2,710/month rental, the maximum would be $5,420.

Q4

How long do I have to return a security deposit in Mill Bay?

You must return the security deposit, or provide an itemized list of deductions, within 14 days after the tenant vacates the property and returns possession.

Q5

Do Mill Bay landlords have to accept Section 8 or other housing vouchers?

No, Alaska does not have a statewide source-of-income protection law. This means landlords in Mill Bay are not legally required to accept Section 8 or other housing vouchers.

Q6

When should I get an attorney for an eviction in Mill Bay?

You should contact an attorney as soon as your tenant fails to comply with the 7-day pay-or-quit notice. Attempting to navigate the court system yourself can lead to costly errors and delays. An attorney ensures the process is handled correctly and efficiently.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.8/10 places Mill Bay in the 27th percentile of Alaska cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.