Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Pine Knoll Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flagstaff
Tract 04005001000 · Coconino, AZ · pop 11,709 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
04005001000 is a census tract in the Pine Knoll area of Flagstaff, AZ. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 11,709. 60% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 78%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units912
Renter share98.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate64.2%
Median income$20,733
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flagstaff and the region
Centroid at 35.1818, -111.6551 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pine Knoll scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Flagstaff
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
64.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,325 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flagstaff
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flagstaff
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flagstaff
5.5
How Pine Knoll compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2004)
- 7Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.2%Housing insecurity
- 15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.2%Food insecurity
- 31.6%SNAP enrollment
- 25.1%Transit barriers
- 14.9%No health insurance
- 31.7%Frequent mental distress
- 40.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pine Knoll
Cost burden runs 79% here against 40.0% across Coconino County. Set annual rent against average income of $20,733 and the ratio lands at 77%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 64%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Food insecurity runs 36.2% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 1.9 points above the Coconino County average of 4.0. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10.
Average gross rent is $1,325, 19% below the Flagstaff average. The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions over 1 years of observation.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04005001000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04005001000?
Census tract 04005001000 in the Pine Knoll neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04005001000?
Median gross rent is $1,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04005001000?
64.2% of residents in tract 04005001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 11,709.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04005001000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 2th, minority 54th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 04005001000 considered part of Pine Knoll?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04005001000 fall within Pine Knoll (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04005001000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04005001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.90% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04005001000 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04005001000 compare to Flagstaff overall?
Tract 04005001000 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Flagstaff at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flagstaff eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Flagstaff
Top eight tracts in Flagstaff ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Rio Homes
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Pine Canyon
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Presidio in the Pines
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Sunnyside
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Shadow Mountain
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flagstaff Industrial Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04005980200
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Railroad Springs
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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