Pine Knoll Eviction Risk: Moderate

Annualized rent equals 77% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. 79% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Flagstaff rate of 34.6%.

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 64%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is a renter market: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. SNAP participation is 31.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. At $1,325 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Flagstaff commands.

Court records for this tract carry 7 eviction filings. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 0.9% of renter households.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.