Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Rio Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flagstaff

Tract 04005000800 · Coconino, AZ · pop 6,658 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

04005000800 is a census tract in the Rio Homes area of Flagstaff, AZ. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,658 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 37% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units2,770
Renter share92.9%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate51.3%
Median income$40,552

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rio Homes
Moderate
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 18 tracts In Flagstaff
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 39 tracts In Coconino
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Flagstaff and the region

Centroid at 35.1853, -111.6332 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rio Homes scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flagstaff
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
51.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,546 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flagstaff
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flagstaff
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flagstaff
5.5

How Rio Homes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rio Homes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 000800Flagstaff: 4.54.5Flagstaffparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak (2004)
  • 20Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rio Homes

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Coconino County average of 40.0%. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 51%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $40,552 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 1.9 points above the Coconino County average of 4.0. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.

Food insecurity runs 29.5% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Court records carry 20 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2004, when 2.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04005000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04005000800?

Census tract 04005000800 in the Rio Homes neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04005000800?

Median gross rent is $1,546/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04005000800?

51.3% of residents in tract 04005000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,658.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04005000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 10th, minority 63th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 04005000800 considered part of Rio Homes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04005000800 fall within Rio Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04005000800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04005000800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.11% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04005000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04005000800 compare to Flagstaff overall?

Tract 04005000800 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Flagstaff at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flagstaff eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flagstaff

Top eight tracts in Flagstaff ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related