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Neighborhood · Flagstaff, AZ

Rio Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,658 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.9–5.9

Rio Homes is a one-tract neighborhood of Flagstaff, AZ, population 6,658. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 41%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Against a Flagstaff baseline of 34.6%, 60% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 51%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average household income of $40,552 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is a renter market: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The filing record is not thin: 20 evictions logged in this tract. Food insecurity affects 29.5% of adults, 11.7 points above the national rate.

15.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 2.1% of renter households. Running cool is supply constraint, at 3/10.

At $1,546 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Flagstaff commands. Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Flagstaff, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

One tract means one number: 5.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Rio Homes vs Flagstaff How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.3% +74%
Flagstaff: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,546 -6%
Flagstaff: $1,645
Average HH income
$40,552 -40%
Flagstaff: $68,041
Poverty rate
51.3% +165%
Flagstaff: 19.4%
Renter share
92.9% +61%
Flagstaff: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rio Homes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.9–5.9

Why Rio Homes scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
93% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
51.3% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Rio Homes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rio Homes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.9Rio HomesNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Rio Homes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04005000800 5.9 6,658 60% $1,546
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 99%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rio Homes

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings (sum)
  • 2.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak year (2004)
  • 2.11%Latest filed (2004)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rio Homes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rio Homes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rio Homes?

Rio Homes scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rio Homes compare to Flagstaff overall?

Rio Homes scores 1.4 points higher than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,546 vs $1,645.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rio Homes?

Average gross rent in Rio Homes is $1,546/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rio Homes residents are renters?

93% of Rio Homes households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 6,658 residents.
Q5

Is Rio Homes a high social-vulnerability area?

Rio Homes sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Rio Homes for landlords?

Rio Homes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Rio Homes?

Rio Homes has 6,524 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.4%), Other / Multiracial (30.1%), Hispanic / Latino (13.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rio Homes.

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