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Neighborhood · Flagstaff, AZ

Rio Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,658 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.9–5.9

Rio Homes is a one-tract neighborhood of Flagstaff, AZ, population 6,658. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 41%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Against a Flagstaff baseline of 34.6%, 60% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 51%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average household income of $40,552 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is a renter market: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The filing record is not thin: 20 evictions logged in this tract. Food insecurity affects 29.5% of adults, 11.7 points above the national rate.

15.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 2.1% of renter households. Running cool is supply constraint, at 3/10.

At $1,546 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Flagstaff commands. Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Flagstaff, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

One tract means one number: 5.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Rio Homes vs Flagstaff How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.3% +74%
Flagstaff: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,546 -6%
Flagstaff: $1,645
Average HH income
$40,552 -40%
Flagstaff: $68,041
Poverty rate
51.3% +165%
Flagstaff: 19.4%
Renter share
92.9% +61%
Flagstaff: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rio Homes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.9–5.9

Why Rio Homes scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
93% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
51.3% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Rio Homes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rio Homes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Rio Homes: 5.95.9Rio HomesNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Rio Homes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04005000800 5.9 6,658 60% $1,546
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 99%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rio Homes

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings (sum)
  • 2.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak year (2004)
  • 2.11%Latest filed (2004)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rio Homes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rio Homes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rio Homes?

Rio Homes scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rio Homes compare to Flagstaff overall?

Rio Homes scores 1.4 points higher than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,546 vs $1,645.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rio Homes?

Average gross rent in Rio Homes is $1,546/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rio Homes residents are renters?

93% of Rio Homes households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 6,658 residents.
Q5

Is Rio Homes a high social-vulnerability area?

Rio Homes sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Rio Homes for landlords?

Rio Homes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Rio Homes?

Rio Homes has 6,524 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.4%), Other / Multiracial (30.1%), Hispanic / Latino (13.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rio Homes.

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