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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Sunburst Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013112521 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,059 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

For landlords sizing up the Sunburst Homes neighborhood of Phoenix, census tract 04013112521 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,409 a month against an average household income of $48,700 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59% Stable renters 41% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,219
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$48,700

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Sunburst Homes
Low
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#142 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#189 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#481 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4643, -112.1949 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sunburst Homes scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,409 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Sunburst Homes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sunburst Homes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 112521Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sunburst Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sunburst Homes

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013112521

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112521?

Census tract 04013112521 in the Sunburst Homes neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013112521?

Median gross rent is $1,409/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112521?

12.7% of residents in tract 04013112521 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,059.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112521?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 72th, minority 94th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 04013112521 considered part of Sunburst Homes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112521 fall within Sunburst Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013112521 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013112521 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013112521 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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