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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Sunburst Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013112521 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,059 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

04013112521 is a census tract in the Sunburst Homes area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,059 residents. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59% Stable renters 41% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,219
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$48,700

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Sunburst Homes
Low
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#137 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#191 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#340 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4643, -112.1949 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sunburst Homes scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,409 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Sunburst Homes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sunburst Homes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 112521Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sunburst Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sunburst Homes

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $48,700 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

SNAP participation runs 27.5% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 25.9% against 14.2% nationally.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. At $1,409 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013112521

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112521?

Census tract 04013112521 in the Sunburst Homes neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013112521?

Median gross rent is $1,409/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112521?

12.7% of residents in tract 04013112521 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,059.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112521?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 72th, minority 94th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 04013112521 considered part of Sunburst Homes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112521 fall within Sunburst Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013112521 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013112521 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013112521 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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