Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Marana Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004431 · Pima, AZ · pop 7,107 · 79% of tract blocks fall in Marana
Tract 04019004431, home to 7,107 residents in Marana in Pima County, scores 4.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #58,992 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 23% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,680 monthly, set against $106,575 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,680
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$106,575
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
14
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Marana and the region
Centroid at 32.4088, -111.1833 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marana scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Marana
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,680 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marana
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marana
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marana
3.8
How Marana compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 38Total filings over 10 yrs
- 1.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2017)
- 10Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 900% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marana
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Marana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 38 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 1.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2017.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004431
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004431?
Census tract 04019004431 in Marana scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004431?
Median gross rent is $1,680/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004431?
8.8% of residents in tract 04019004431 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,107.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004431?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 45th, minority 59th, housing 28th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004431?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 04019004431 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.61% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004431 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004431 compare to Marana overall?
Tract 04019004431 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Marana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Marana
Top eight tracts in Marana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004613
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004436
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004438
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004644
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004430
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004645
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004426
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004649
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
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