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Census Tract · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Marana Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004645 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,957 · 10% of tract blocks fall in Marana

Tract 04019004645, home to 4,957 residents in Marana, scores 4.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #56,281 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 27% of renter households, a moderate level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,768 monthly, set against $92,044 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 13% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,010
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$92,044

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 15 tracts In Marana
Elevated
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#209 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#1,375 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#69,776 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Marana and the region

Centroid at 32.3720, -111.0734 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marana scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Marana
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,768 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marana
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marana
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marana
3.8

How Marana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marana risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.32.3This tracttract 004645Marana: 2.42.4Maranaparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 209Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 6.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.8%Peak (2013)
  • 22Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190046452004: 5 filings (3.46/100 renter HHs)2005: 9 filings (5.91/100 renter HHs)2006: 24 filings (15.77/100 renter HHs)2007: 13 filings (8.54/100 renter HHs)2008: 7 filings (4.60/100 renter HHs)2009: 14 filings (9.20/100 renter HHs)2010: 24 filings (6.23/100 renter HHs)2011: 25 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)2012: 13 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2013: 27 filings (6.82/100 renter HHs)2016: 26 filings (6.57/100 renter HHs)2017: 22 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 340% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marana

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Marana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 209 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 6.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.8% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004645

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004645?

Census tract 04019004645 in Marana scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004645?

Median gross rent is $1,768/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004645?

7.0% of residents in tract 04019004645 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,957.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004645?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 43th, minority 58th, housing 27th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004645?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 209 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004645 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.85% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004645 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004645 compare to Marana overall?

Tract 04019004645 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Marana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Marana

Top eight tracts in Marana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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