Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Marana Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004430 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,663 · 84% of tract blocks fall in Marana
Census tract 04019004430 runs through Marana. With 3,663 residents, it scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,284 a month while the average household earns $94,830 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,063
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$94,830
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
National
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Marana and the region
Centroid at 32.4317, -111.2555 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marana scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Marana
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,284 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marana
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marana
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marana
3.8
How Marana compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 27Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.9%Peak (2016)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 700% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marana
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Marana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 27 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.9% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004430
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004430?
Census tract 04019004430 in Marana scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004430?
Median gross rent is $1,284/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004430?
8.9% of residents in tract 04019004430 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,663.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004430?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 47th, minority 73th, housing 96th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004430?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04019004430 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.75% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004430 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004430 compare to Marana overall?
Tract 04019004430 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Marana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Marana
Top eight tracts in Marana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004613
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004436
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004644
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004438
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004645
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004426
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004431
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004649
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
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