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Census Tract · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

Oro Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004643 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,693 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Oro Valley

Census tract 04019004643 covers Oro Valley, home to 3,693 residents. For landlords it grades 4.3/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #68,302 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 7% of renter households, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,604 a month against an average household income of $84,957 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 8% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,011
Renter share8.8%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$84,957

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 12 tracts In Oro Valley
High
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#198 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#1,285 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#66,742 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oro Valley and the region

Centroid at 32.4847, -110.9509 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oro Valley scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oro Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,604 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oro Valley
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oro Valley
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oro Valley
4.4

How Oro Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oro Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.52.5This tracttract 004643Oro Valley: 2.42.4Oro Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 0.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2009)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190046432004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.34/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (0.34/100 renter HHs)2007: 1 filings (0.34/100 renter HHs)2008: 2 filings (0.68/100 renter HHs)2009: 4 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (0.52/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 1 filings (0.53/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oro Valley

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oro Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pima County average of 5.5 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 2.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 19 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 0.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.4% of renter households in 2009.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004643

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004643?

Census tract 04019004643 in Oro Valley scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004643?

Median gross rent is $1,604/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004643?

7.4% of residents in tract 04019004643 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,693.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004643?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 38th, minority 25th, housing 3th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004643?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 04019004643 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.84% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004643 struggle to pay rent?

About 2.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004643 compare to Oro Valley overall?

Tract 04019004643 scores 2.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Oro Valley at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oro Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oro Valley

Top eight tracts in Oro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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