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Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

Oro Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004642 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,463

How risky is Oro Valley in Pima County for landlords? Census tract 04019004642 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #44,299 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,818 a month against an average household income of $120,525 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 15% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,251
Renter share23.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$120,525

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 12 tracts In Oro Valley
Very Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#256 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#1,617 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
National
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#79,124 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oro Valley and the region

Centroid at 32.4343, -110.9530 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oro Valley scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oro Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,818 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oro Valley
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oro Valley
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oro Valley
4.4

How Oro Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oro Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.51.5This tracttract 004642Oro Valley: 2.42.4Oro Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 35Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 2.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2017)
  • 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190046422004: 1 filings (4.78/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (2.05/100 renter HHs)2007: 3 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2008: 6 filings (6.15/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (1.77/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (0.43/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (1.75/100 renter HHs)2017: 12 filings (3.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 1,100% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oro Valley

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oro Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2017.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004642

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004642?

Census tract 04019004642 in Oro Valley scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004642?

Median gross rent is $1,818/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004642?

3.2% of residents in tract 04019004642 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,463.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004642?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 45th, minority 24th, housing 55th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004642?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 04019004642 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.94% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004642 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004642 compare to Oro Valley overall?

Tract 04019004642 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Oro Valley at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oro Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oro Valley

Top eight tracts in Oro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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