Census Tract · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Oro Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004728 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,804 · 60% of tract blocks fall in Oro Valley

In Oro Valley, census tract 04019004728 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,712 monthly, set against $91,053 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

2.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 27% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units2,084

Renter share58.3%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate6.4%

Median income$91,053

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oro Valley and the region

Centroid at 32.4124, -110.8319 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oro Valley scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oro Valley

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

6.4% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,712 rent vs county FMR

7.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oro Valley

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oro Valley

5.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oro Valley

4.4

How Oro Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

14%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.1%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
6.3%Food insecurity
4.5%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
12.1%Frequent mental distress
30.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oro Valley

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oro Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004728

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004728?

Census tract 04019004728 in Oro Valley scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04019004728?

Median gross rent is $1,712/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004728?

6.4% of residents in tract 04019004728 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,804.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004728?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 52th, minority 23th, housing 35th.

What share of households in tract 04019004728 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04019004728 compare to Oro Valley overall?

Tract 04019004728 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Oro Valley at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oro Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oro Valley

Top eight tracts in Oro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.