Jaynes Eviction Risk: Lower , Casas Adobes

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.4/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.2/10. The voucher gap is 16.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 1,076 evictions over 12 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 28.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,593, close to the Casas Adobes average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $95,594.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.