Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Cimmarron Eviction Risk: Lower , Apache Junction

Tract 04021000325 · Pinal, AZ · pop 3,041 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in the Cimmarron neighborhood of Apache Junction centers on tract 04021000325, which scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,041 residents. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,361 a month against an average household income of $59,464 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 29% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units1,166

Renter share42.6%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate7.3%

Median income$59,464

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Apache Junction and the region

Centroid at 33.3861, -111.5374 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cimmarron scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Apache Junction

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

7.3% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$1,361 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Apache Junction

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Apache Junction

5.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Apache Junction

6.5

How Cimmarron compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
48%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
49%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.2%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
13.8%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
38.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cimmarron

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinal County average of 4.9 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000325

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000325?

Census tract 04021000325 in the Cimmarron neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021000325?

Median gross rent is $1,361/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000325?

7.3% of residents in tract 04021000325 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,041.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000325?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 48th, minority 58th, housing 49th.

Is tract 04021000325 considered part of Cimmarron?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000325 fall within Cimmarron (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021000325 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021000325 compare to Apache Junction overall?

Tract 04021000325 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Apache Junction at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apache Junction

Top eight tracts in Apache Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.