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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Apache Dream Eviction Risk: Moderate , Apache Junction

Tract 04021000312 · Pinal, AZ · pop 4,076 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04021000312 sits in the Apache Dream area of Apache Junction eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. It is home to 4,076 residents. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,731
Renter share19.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$61,414

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Apache Dream
Moderate
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 15 tracts In Apache Junction
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#599 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apache Junction and the region

Centroid at 33.4114, -111.5638 · click any tract to drill in

Why Apache Dream scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apache Junction
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$951 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apache Junction
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apache Junction
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apache Junction
6.5

How Apache Dream compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Apache Dream risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 000312Apache Junction: 3.63.6Apache Junctionparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Apache Dream

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. At $951 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Apache Junction commands. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $61,414.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000312

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000312?

Census tract 04021000312 in the Apache Dream neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021000312?

Median gross rent is $951/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000312?

11.1% of residents in tract 04021000312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,076.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 56th, minority 55th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 04021000312 considered part of Apache Dream?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000312 fall within Apache Dream (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04021000312 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04021000312 compare to Apache Junction overall?

Tract 04021000312 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Apache Junction at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apache Junction

Top eight tracts in Apache Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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