Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Apache Dream Eviction Risk: Lower , Apache Junction

Tract 04021000312 · Pinal, AZ · pop 4,076 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Eviction risk in the Apache Dream area of Apache Junction centers on tract 04021000312, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,076 residents. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $951 a month while the average household earns $61,414 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units1,731

Renter share19.0%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate11.1%

Median income$61,414

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Apache Junction and the region

Centroid at 33.4114, -111.5638 · click any tract to drill in

Why Apache Dream scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Apache Junction

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

11.1% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$951 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Apache Junction

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Apache Junction

5.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Apache Junction

6.5

How Apache Dream compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.3%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
19.6%Food insecurity
13.7%SNAP enrollment
9.7%Transit barriers
14.8%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
38.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Apache Dream

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinal County average of 4.9 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000312

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000312?

Census tract 04021000312 in the Apache Dream neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021000312?

Median gross rent is $951/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000312?

11.1% of residents in tract 04021000312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,076.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 56th, minority 55th, housing 88th.

Is tract 04021000312 considered part of Apache Dream?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000312 fall within Apache Dream (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021000312 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021000312 compare to Apache Junction overall?

Tract 04021000312 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Apache Junction at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apache Junction

Top eight tracts in Apache Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.