Pinal County, Arizona Eviction Risk: Low
41 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of San Tan Valley (3.2) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #12 of 15 AZ counties
405k residents · 41 cities · 95 tracts
Pinal County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord22.2%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Pinal County, AZ, tenants prevail in roughly 22.2% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline39dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Pinal County, AZ until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 39 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$1.9–4.4klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Pinal County, AZ costs landlords $1,902 to $4,370 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$1,64629% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Pinal County, AZ is $1,646 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 29% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters19.6%of households19.6% of occupied housing units in Pinal County, AZ are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty10.9%5.9% unemp.10.9% of Pinal County, AZ residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 5.9%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Pinal County averages 2.6/10 across 41 cities, spanning a range of 2.4 (San Tan Valley) to 4.7 in the county's highest-risk city, Campo Bonito. Ranked 5th of 15 Arizona counties by eviction risk (rank 1 = highest risk).
How Pinal County ranks in Arizona
Landlord guides for Arizona
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | San Tan Valley | 109,189 | 2.6 | 28.2% | $2,085 | Rep |
| 002 | Maricopa | 67,163 | 2.5 | 31.0% | $1,998 | Rep |
| 003 | Casa Grande | 60,905 | 2.8 | 34.4% | $1,386 | Rep |
| 004 | Apache Junction | 41,058 | 2.7 | 32.3% | $1,146 | Rep |
| 005 | Florence | 25,570 | 2.5 | 22.6% | $1,302 | Rep |
| 006 | Eloy | 17,433 | 2.8 | 27.2% | $978 | Rep |
| 007 | Coolidge | 16,636 | 3.0 | 28.7% | $1,314 | Rep |
| 008 | Gold Canyon | 13,107 | 2.3 | 24.4% | $1,542 | Rep |
| 009 | Saddlebrooke | 13,085 | 2.8 | 27.2% | $2,774 | Rep |
| 010 | Arizona City | 9,543 | 2.5 | 28.4% | $990 | Rep |
| 011 | San Manuel | 3,491 | 2.7 | 28.0% | $708 | Rep |
| 012 | Sacaton | 3,429 | 2.7 | 9.0% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 013 | Red Rock | 3,243 | 2.6 | 30.1% | $1,514 | Rep |
| 014 | Oracle | 3,146 | 2.5 | 29.9% | $839 | Rep |
| 015 | Superior | 2,535 | 2.9 | 31.5% | $881 | Rep |
| 016 | Kearny | 2,109 | 2.4 | 19.6% | $1,065 | Rep |
| 017 | Blackwater | 1,958 | 2.9 | 5.3% | $363 | Rep |
| 018 | Casa Blanca | 1,697 | 3.1 | 22.7% | $395 | Rep |
| 019 | Mammoth | 1,191 | 3.1 | 40.0% | $1,146 | Rep |
| 020 | Ak-Chin Village | 1,132 | 2.5 | 33.3% | $1,254 | Rep |
| 021 | Queen Valley | 1,118 | 2.9 | 51.0% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 022 | Dudleyville | 684 | 2.3 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 023 | Stanfield | 646 | 3.2 | 12.7% | $618 | Rep |
| 024 | Cactus Forest | 640 | 2.1 | 18.7% | $946 | Rep |
| 025 | Sacaton Flats Village | 604 | 2.6 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 026 | Goodyear Village | 590 | 2.5 | 51.0% | $614 | Rep |
| 027 | Nelson | 519 | 3.1 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 028 | Wet Camp Village | 397 | 2.7 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 029 | Picacho | 297 | 2.8 | 13.8% | $1,188 | Rep |
| 030 | Lower Santan Village | 289 | 2.5 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 031 | Chuichu | 278 | 2.2 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 032 | Upper Santan Village | 234 | 2.6 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 033 | Winkelman | 191 | 3.1 | 51.0% | $729 | Rep |
| 034 | Dripping Springs | 186 | 2.0 | 22.6% | $535 | Rep |
| 035 | Vaiva Vo | 184 | 3.1 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 036 | Sweet Water Village | 106 | 2.5 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 037 | Rillito | 94 | 2.6 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 038 | Stotonic Village | 78 | 2.4 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 039 | Campo Bonito | 33 | 2.3 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 040 | Summerhaven | 22 | 2.1 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
| 041 | Willow Canyon | 2 | 2.7 | 30.1% | $1,772 | Rep |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Pinal County
Top 12 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Pinal County's average eviction-risk score of 2.6/10 (Low) may look reassuring at first glance, but landlords and investors should read it carefully. Ranked 5th of 15 Arizona counties, Pinal sits in the higher-risk third of the state, meaning only four counties statewide carry a heavier burden. That ranking reflects a market shaped by rapid population growth, a wide income spread, and a renter share of just 19.7% across a county of more than 401,000 residents, with an average rent of $1,647 per month. Operating conditions are generally workable, but the county's position near the top of the state's risk table signals that landlords here face more friction than in the majority of Arizona jurisdictions.
What makes Pinal particularly important to read at the city level is the intra-county spread: scores range from 2 to 3.2 across 41 cities. A landlord acquiring in the low end of that range faces a materially different operating environment than one acquiring in the high end, even though both properties fall under the same county. Portfolio decisions made at the county average can obscure that reality.
The cities inside Pinal County
The highest-risk location in the county is Stanfield, which scores 3.2/10, the only city to breach the upper bound. Immediately below it, Casa Grande (population 60,905), Apache Junction (population 41,058), San Manuel, Casa Blanca, Winkelman, and Dripping Springs all score 2/10. Gold Canyon (population 13,107) comes in at 2.3/10. These cities cluster risk signals, including tenant financial stress and vacancy pressure, that landlords should price into underwriting before acquiring there.
The county's two largest cities tell a very different story. San Tan Valley, with a population of 109,189, scores just 2.4/10, the lowest in the county. Maricopa (population 67,163) scores 2.5/10. Both are fast-growing communities where the tenant base skews toward working households with stronger rent-payment capacity. Florence, the county seat at a population of 25,570, scores 3.2/10, near the county average. Risk in Pinal County is genuinely hyper-local, and aggregated county figures are a starting point, not a conclusion.
State-level laws that apply here
All Pinal County landlords operate under Arizona state law, specifically A.R.S. § 33-1301 et seq. (Arizona Residential Landlord and Tenant Act). For nonpayment of rent and material irreparable breach, the notice period is 5 days under ARS § 33-1368(B). Curable material noncompliance requires a 10-day notice under ARS § 33-1368(A), and ending a month-to-month tenancy requires 30 days under ARS § 33-1375. Landlords can expect court filing fees of $210 to $350, sheriff lockout fees of $50 to $150, and attorney fees typically ranging from $500 to $3,000 for representation. An uncontested case typically resolves in 21 to 35 days; a contested case can run 60 to 120 days. The full Arizona eviction process and a breakdown of Arizona eviction costs are covered in the statewide guides. Arizona does not require just cause for termination and state law preempts any local rent control, so no city in Pinal County can impose a rent cap.
With an average poverty rate of 10.9% and a renter share of 19.7%, Pinal County's tenant population is relatively small but carries moderate financial stress, concentrated in the higher-scoring cities shown in the grid above.
Historical eviction filings in Pinal County
From 2004 to 2017, eviction filings in Pinal County increased 21%. The peak was 3,080 filings in 2006.1
- 1,7772004
- 3,080Peak (2006)
- 2,1572017
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Pinal County compares
Among its peer counties, Pinal County's average score of 2.6/10 is higher than Yavapai County (2.96/10), Yuma County (3.01/10), Cochise County (3.16/10), and Navajo County (3.25/10), and roughly on par with Gila County (3.26/10), making Pinal the highest-scoring, and therefore highest-risk, county within this peer group.
Within Arizona as a whole, Pinal County ranks 5th out of 15 counties on eviction risk, where rank 1 equals the most risky. Four Arizona counties carry more risk than Pinal County, while 10 are less risky, placing Pinal in the higher-risk third of the state despite its Low tier designation.