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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Canyon Mesa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Prescott Valley

Tract 04025000611 · Yavapai, AZ · pop 1,430 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

04025000611 is a census tract in the Castle Canyon Mesa area of Prescott Valley, AZ. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Against Yavapai County at 41.3%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 13% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units460
Renter share37.0%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$66,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Castle Canyon Mesa
Very High
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 14 tracts In Prescott Valley
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 72 tracts In Yavapai
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#306 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Prescott Valley and the region

Centroid at 34.5874, -112.3579 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Canyon Mesa scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Prescott Valley
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,906 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Prescott Valley
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Prescott Valley
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Prescott Valley
5.9

How Castle Canyon Mesa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castle Canyon Mesa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 000611Prescott Valley: 3.83.8Prescott Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Castle Canyon Mesa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Canyon Mesa

Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $66,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Average gross rent is $1,906, 21% above the Prescott Valley average. The voucher gap is 18.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.1 points above the Yavapai County average of 3.8. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.4% against 11.3% nationally. Food insecurity runs 25.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 6.9/10. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04025000611

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04025000611?

Census tract 04025000611 in the Castle Canyon Mesa neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04025000611?

Median gross rent is $1,906/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04025000611?

24.3% of residents in tract 04025000611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,430.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04025000611?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 70th, minority 65th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 04025000611 considered part of Castle Canyon Mesa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04025000611 fall within Castle Canyon Mesa (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04025000611 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04025000611 compare to Prescott Valley overall?

Tract 04025000611 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Prescott Valley at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Prescott Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Prescott Valley

Top eight tracts in Prescott Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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