Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Saguaro Eviction Risk: Lower , Yuma
Tract 04027011121 ·
Yuma, AZ · pop 6,557 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 04027011121 sits in the Saguaro area of Yuma eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 6,557 residents. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 7%Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,385
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$80,223
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Saguaro
Moderate
Within parent city
25th percentile
#25 of 33 tracts In Yuma
Low
Within county
15th percentile
#57 of 67 tracts In Yuma
Very Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Yuma and the region
Centroid at 32.6514, -114.5169 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saguaro scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Yuma
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,154 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Yuma
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Yuma
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Yuma
3.0
How Saguaro compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
36%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
39%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.5%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
15.6%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saguaro
At $2,154 a month, rents run 93% over what the rest of Yuma commands. The voucher gap is 56.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Against Yuma County at 40.1%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $80,223, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Yuma County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04027011121
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027011121?
Census tract 04027011121 in the Saguaro neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04027011121?
Median gross rent is $2,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04027011121?
6.0% of residents in tract 04027011121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,557.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04027011121?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 68th, minority 76th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 04027011121 considered part of Saguaro?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027011121 fall within Saguaro (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04027011121 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04027011121 compare to Yuma overall?
Tract 04027011121 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Yuma at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yuma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Yuma
Top eight tracts in Yuma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.