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Rancho Mesa Verde, Arizona eviction risk overview
City brief · 759 residents

Rancho Mesa Verde, AZ Eviction Risk: LOW

Yuma County · Population 759

In 2026
Risk score
3.2
LOW

100th percentile, Arizona.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average2.3 Now3.2
3.4 1.6 1976 · score 2.1 1977 · score 2.0 1978 · score 1.9 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 2.0 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 1.7 1989 · score 1.7 1990 · score 1.7 1991 · score 1.8 1992 · score 2.0 1993 · score 2.0 1994 · score 2.0 1995 · score 2.0 1996 · score 2.2 1997 · score 2.1 1998 · score 2.1 1999 · score 2.2 2000 · score 2.1 2001 · score 2.2 2002 · score 2.3 2003 · score 2.2 2004 · score 2.2 2005 · score 2.1 2006 · score 2.1 2007 · score 2.1 2008 · score 2.3 2009 · score 2.6 2010 · score 2.7 2011 · score 2.6 2012 · score 2.6 2013 · score 2.6 2014 · score 2.5 2015 · score 2.5 2016 · score 2.7 2017 · score 2.7 2018 · score 2.8 2019 · score 2.8 2020 · score 3.2 2021 · score 3.4 2022 · score 3.0 2023 · score 3.0 2024 · score 3.3 2025 · score 3.3 2026 · score 3.2

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.2 Regional 5.2 State 2.2 Economic 9.8 Supply 1.0 Rent Control 1.5 Eviction 2.2 Tenant 1.0 Housing 2.0 3.2 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +20.4% (2024)
    5.2
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.2
  3. State political climate
    Arizona legislature & governorship
    2.2
  4. Economic stress
    47.9% poverty · 37.4% unemp.
    9.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,024 average · 48.7% renters
    1.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    28.3% of income on rent
    1.5
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    40 days filing → judgment
    2.2
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    48.7% renters
    1.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rancho Mesa Verde and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Rancho Mesa Verde compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Yuma County
Very High
#1 of 21 cities
Rank in county, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 21 cities in Yuma County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Arizona
Very High
#8 of 464 cities
Rank in state, 99th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 464 cities in Arizona for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Rancho Mesa Verde risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Rancho Mesa Verde: 3.23.2Rancho Mesa VerdeThis cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 3.2
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 3.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.1 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 40d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,024/mo. A contested eviction takes 40 days and costs $1,991–$3,946 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 48.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 759 residents, 48.7% rent. 28% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 47.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.2
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.2 and 5.2 (GOP margin +20.4% (2024)). State climate at 2.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 2.2, housing court bias 2, rent-control risk 1.5. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-2.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 9.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 9.8. Supply constraint: 1. The numbers behind those: 47.9% poverty, 37.4% unemployment, 28% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Rancho Mesa Verde sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Yuma, AZ · 42d · ~$2.8k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.2 Yuma Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Tucson, AZ · 43d · ~$3.3k all-in ($78/day) · score 3.2 Tucson Mesa, AZ · 38d · ~$3.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.8 Mesa Gilbert, AZ · 37d · ~$3.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 2.4 Gilbert Chandler, AZ · 40d · ~$3.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.5 Chandler Glendale, AZ · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 2.9 Glendale Scottsdale, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.3 Scottsdale Peoria, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 2.4 Peoria Tempe, AZ · 37d · ~$3.0k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.1 Tempe Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Rancho Mesa Verde
Rancho Mesa Verde · 40d · ~$3.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 3.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Rancho Mesa Verde, AZ

Landlording in Rancho Mesa Verde, Arizona, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.2/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Rancho Mesa Verde is a city of 759 residents where 48.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 28.3% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,024/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Rancho Mesa Verde eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 2.2/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Rancho Mesa Verde closes 40 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Rancho Mesa Verde's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Rancho Mesa Verde runs $1,991 to $3,946 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 40 days of typical timeline and $1,024/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 1/10 in Rancho Mesa Verde, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Arizona, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Rancho Mesa Verde: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Arizona's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,946 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Rancho Mesa Verde

Trap · ARIZONA
For state-level context, see the Arizona overview link in the guides section below. The score combines political climate, rent-to-income ratio, court bias, and tenant organizing strength under ARLTA ARS 33.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the fastest way to get a tenant out who isn't paying rent?

The fastest legal way is to immediately serve the 5-day pay-or-quit notice once rent is late. If they don't comply, file for eviction right away. Sometimes, offering "cash for keys" can be quicker and cheaper than a full court eviction if the tenant agrees to move out voluntarily and quickly.

Q2

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Rancho Mesa Verde?

While you can technically represent yourself in Arizona Justice Court, it's highly recommended to hire an attorney, especially if it's your first eviction or if the tenant contests it. An attorney ensures proper procedure, avoids costly mistakes, and can speed up the process. Given the average cost of an eviction, legal fees are often a worthwhile investment.

Q3

Can I keep the security deposit for unpaid rent?

Yes, in Arizona, you can deduct unpaid rent, damages beyond normal wear and tear, and other legitimate costs from the security deposit. You must provide an itemized statement of deductions to the tenant within 14 business days of their move-out. If you don't, you could lose the right to withhold any of it.

Q4

What if the tenant leaves belongings behind after an eviction?

Arizona law requires you to store a tenant's abandoned property for a specific period (usually 10 days after the Writ of Restitution is executed). You must notify the tenant of where their belongings are stored. If they don't claim them, you can dispose of them or sell them, using proceeds to cover storage costs. Consult an attorney for the specific steps to avoid liability.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 3.2/10 places Rancho Mesa Verde in the 100th percentile of Arizona cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.