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Scottsdale, Arizona eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,602 of 1,865 nationally

Scottsdale, AZ Eviction Risk: LOW

Maricopa County · Population 243,821

In 2026
Risk score
2.8
LOW

27th percentile, Arizona.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.1 Average1.7 Now2.8
10 5 1976 · score 1.2 1977 · score 1.2 1978 · score 1.1 1979 · score 1.2 1980 · score 1.3 1981 · score 1.3 1982 · score 1.3 1983 · score 1.2 1984 · score 1.2 1985 · score 1.2 1986 · score 1.3 1987 · score 1.2 1988 · score 1.2 1989 · score 1.2 1990 · score 1.3 1991 · score 1.3 1992 · score 1.5 1993 · score 1.5 1994 · score 1.5 1995 · score 1.5 1996 · score 1.7 1997 · score 1.7 1998 · score 1.7 1999 · score 1.8 2000 · score 1.4 2001 · score 1.5 2002 · score 1.5 2003 · score 1.5 2004 · score 1.4 2005 · score 1.4 2006 · score 1.5 2007 · score 1.5 2008 · score 1.7 2009 · score 1.8 2010 · score 1.8 2011 · score 1.8 2012 · score 1.8 2013 · score 1.8 2014 · score 1.8 2015 · score 1.9 2016 · score 2.1 2017 · score 2.2 2018 · score 2.2 2019 · score 2.3 2020 · score 2.7 2021 · score 2.7 2022 · score 2.7 2023 · score 2.7 2024 · score 2.5 2025 · score 2.4 2026 · score 2.8

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 2.5 Regional 3.5 State 2.5 Economic 3.0 Supply 3.5 Rent Control 1.0 Eviction 2.5 Tenant 1.5 Housing 2.0 2.8 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +3.5% (2024)
    2.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    3.5
  3. State political climate
    Arizona legislature & governorship
    2.5
  4. Economic stress
    7.1% poverty · 3.4% unemp.
    3.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,013 average · 33.0% renters
    3.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.2% of income on rent
    1.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    37 days filing → judgment
    2.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    33.0% renters
    1.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Scottsdale compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Maricopa County
Very Low
#44 of 45 cities
Rank in county, 2nd percentileBottomTop
#44 of 45 cities in Maricopa County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Arizona
Low
#358 of 464 cities
Rank in state, 23rd percentileBottomTop
#358 of 464 cities in Arizona for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Scottsdale risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Scottsdale: 2.82.8ScottsdaleThis cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.8
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.8/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 37d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,013/mo. A contested eviction takes 37 days and costs $1,986-$4,533 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 33.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 243,821 residents, 33.0% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 7.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 2.5 and 3.5 (GOP margin +3.5% (2024)). State climate at 2.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 2.5, housing court bias 2, rent-control risk 1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-2.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3. Supply constraint: 3.5. The numbers behind those: 7.1% poverty, 3.4% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Scottsdale sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Mesa, AZ · 38d · ~$3.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 3.4 Mesa Gilbert, AZ · 37d · ~$3.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 3 Gilbert Chandler, AZ · 40d · ~$3.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 3.1 Chandler Glendale, AZ · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 3.8 Glendale Peoria, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 3.1 Peoria Tempe, AZ · 37d · ~$3.0k all-in ($81/day) · score 4.9 Tempe Surprise, AZ · 41d · ~$2.7k all-in ($67/day) · score 3 Surprise San Tan Valley, AZ · 42d · ~$2.9k all-in ($70/day) · score 2.4 San Tan Valley Goodyear, AZ · 43d · ~$3.1k all-in ($72/day) · score 4.7 Goodyear Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Scottsdale
Scottsdale · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Scottsdale, AZ

Landlording in Scottsdale, Arizona, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.8/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Scottsdale is a city of 243,821 residents where 33.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.2% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,013/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Scottsdale eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 2.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Scottsdale closes 37 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Scottsdale's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Scottsdale runs $1,986 to $4,533 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 37 days of typical timeline and $2,013/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 1.5/10 in Scottsdale, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Arizona, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Scottsdale: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Arizona's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $4,533 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Scottsdale

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
The tenant base in Scottsdale skews higher-income than the metro average, which produces lower contested-case rates and faster default-redemption outcomes. The McDowell Mountain Justice Court runs an efficient docket. The most common Scottsdale eviction fact patterns involve snowbird tenants who fail to communicate departures, short-term-rental conversion disputes, and high-end multifamily turnover.
Trap · ARS 33-1329
State context: ARS 33-1329 blocks rent control. HB 2191 (2023) preempted local SOI. Scottsdale City Council has not enacted any local tenant protections; the political composition has been consistently landlord-neutral. Operators acquiring Scottsdale luxury multifamily work entirely within state framework.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 6,456 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.99× the historical baseline (below baseline). Past 12 months: 84,136 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 414,391.

  • 6,456Past month
  • 84,136Past 12 months
  • 0.99×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 21.2%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: $69 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 - 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 6,878 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 6,949 filings (0.98× hist)2023-07-01: 7,086 filings (0.95× hist)2023-08-01: 7,674 filings (0.98× hist)2023-09-01: 7,791 filings (1.02× hist)2023-10-01: 7,924 filings (1.02× hist)2023-11-01: 6,628 filings (1.01× hist)2023-12-01: 7,061 filings (0.98× hist)2024-01-01: 7,996 filings (1.07× hist)2024-02-01: 6,872 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 6,186 filings (1.03× hist)2024-04-01: 6,771 filings (1.04× hist)2024-05-01: 7,071 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 7,213 filings (1.02× hist)2024-07-01: 7,889 filings (1.05× hist)2024-08-01: 7,935 filings (1.02× hist)2024-09-01: 7,521 filings (0.98× hist)2024-10-01: 7,669 filings (0.98× hist)2024-11-01: 6,495 filings (0.99× hist)2024-12-01: 7,328 filings (1.02× hist)2025-01-01: 7,591 filings (1.01× hist)2025-02-01: 7,059 filings (1.12× hist)2025-03-01: 5,974 filings (1.00× hist)2025-04-01: 6,316 filings (0.97× hist)2025-05-01: 7,064 filings (1.01× hist)2025-06-01: 7,015 filings (0.99× hist)2025-07-01: 7,242 filings (0.97× hist)2025-08-01: 7,542 filings (0.97× hist)2025-09-01: 7,293 filings (0.95× hist)2025-10-01: 7,569 filings (0.97× hist)2025-11-01: 6,833 filings (1.04× hist)2025-12-01: 7,104 filings (0.99× hist)2026-01-01: 7,665 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 6,466 filings (1.03× hist)2026-03-01: 5,887 filings (0.98× hist)2026-04-01: 6,456 filings (0.99× hist)
Filings dropped 9% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the best way to handle a tenant who pays late every month?

First, review your lease for late fee clauses. Consistently apply late fees. If the problem persists, consider a non-renewal at the end of their lease term. For chronic late payers, a 5-day notice can be issued every month they are late, but this is burdensome. Sometimes, a frank conversation about expectations and consequences is enough.
Q2

Can I increase the rent in Scottsdale? Are there rent control laws?

No, Arizona has no statewide rent control, and Scottsdale doesn't have local rent control either. You are generally free to raise the rent with proper notice (usually 30 days for month-to-month, or at the end of a fixed-term lease). Check our Arizona rent control rules for more.
Q3

What if the tenant leaves personal property behind after an eviction?

Under Arizona law (A.R.S. § 33-1368), you must store the tenant's personal property for at least 10 days. You need to send a notice of abandoned property to the tenant's last known address. If they don't claim it within that time, you can dispose of it. Document everything, especially the inventory of items.
Q4

How do I deal with an unauthorized pet?

If your lease prohibits pets, it's a lease violation. Issue a 10-day notice to cure (A.R.S. § 33-1368). This gives the tenant 10 days to remove the pet or face eviction. If they don't comply, you can file for eviction. Be consistent with all tenants regarding pet policies.
Q5

Is it worth going to court for small damages or unpaid rent after a tenant moves out?

For damages beyond the security deposit or unpaid rent, you can sue in small claims court (Justice Court) for amounts up to $10,000. It's often worth it if the amount is substantial and you have clear documentation. However, collecting a judgment can be difficult if the tenant has no assets.
Q6

Where can I find more information on Arizona tenant protections?

You can find a comprehensive overview of tenant protections, including landlord responsibilities and prohibited acts, on our Arizona tenant protections page. It's crucial to stay informed to avoid legal missteps.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.8/10 places Scottsdale in the 27th percentile of Arizona cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.