2 census tracts · pop 10,026 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10
· range 4.6–4.6
Nahlen Cove takes in 2 census tracts of Conway, AR and houses 10,026 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. Against a Conway baseline of 28.8%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.
Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. The severe-burden share is 13%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $952, close to the Conway average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $50,490.
With little internal variation, 4.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Nahlen Cove vs ConwayHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.0%+49%
Conway: 28.8%
Average gross rent
$952-6%
Conway: $1,011
Average HH income
$50,490-14%
Conway: $58,461
Poverty rate
28.0%+53%
Conway: 18.3%
Renter share
67.0%+23%
Conway: 54.6%
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nahlen Cove and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.6–4.6
Why Nahlen Cove scores 4.6
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
28.0% below poverty line · Range 6.6–7.3 across tracts
7.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–4.9 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison
Nahlen Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Census tracts
2 tracts in Nahlen Cove
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Nahlen Cove
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
12.9%Housing insecurity
9.5%Utility shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
8.6%No health insurance
37.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Nahlen Cove
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Nahlen Cove?
Nahlen Cove scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Nahlen Cove compare to Conway overall?
Nahlen Cove scores 1.4 points higher than Conway overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $952 vs $1,011.
Q3
What is the average rent in Nahlen Cove?
Average gross rent in Nahlen Cove is $952/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Nahlen Cove residents are renters?
67% of Nahlen Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Conway). The neighborhood has 10,026 residents.
Q5
Is Nahlen Cove a high social-vulnerability area?
Nahlen Cove sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Nahlen Cove have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Nahlen Cove is census tract 05045030800 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 4.6, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Nahlen Cove for landlords?
Nahlen Cove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Conway as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Nahlen Cove?
Nahlen Cove has 10,070 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.3%), Hispanic / Latino (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
