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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Nahlen Cove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Conway

Tract 05045030800 · Faulkner County, AR · pop 6,073 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The Nahlen Cove area of Conway is where census tract 05045030800 sits, home to 6,073 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.2/10. It lands near the 17th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $905 a month against an average household income of $50,972 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 42% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,845
Renter share67.6%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate29.2%
Median income$50,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Nahlen Cove
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In Conway
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 28 tracts In Faulkner County
Very High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#104 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Centroid at 35.0825, -92.4690 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nahlen Cove scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conway
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.2% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$905 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conway
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conway
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conway
2.0

How Nahlen Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nahlen Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 030800Conway: 2.22.2Conwayparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nahlen Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nahlen Cove

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Conway eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Faulkner County average of 4.1 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05045030800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05045030800?

Census tract 05045030800 in the Nahlen Cove neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05045030800?

Median gross rent is $905/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05045030800?

29.2% of residents in tract 05045030800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05045030800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 1th, minority 46th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 05045030800 considered part of Nahlen Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05045030800 fall within Nahlen Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05045030800 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05045030800 compare to Conway overall?

Tract 05045030800 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Conway at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conway

Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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