Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Nahlen Cove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Conway

Tract 05045031007 · Faulkner County, AR · pop 3,953 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 05045031007 runs through the Nahlen Cove neighborhood of Conway. With 3,953 residents, it scores 4.5/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 24% of US census tracts.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,024 a month while the average household earns $49,750 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 33% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,760

Renter share66.0%

SVI overall0.41

Poverty rate26.2%

Median income$49,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Centroid at 35.0620, -92.4624 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nahlen Cove scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Conway

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.5

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

26.2% poverty · this tract

6.6

Supply constraint

$1,024 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Conway

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Conway

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Conway

2.0

How Nahlen Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

45%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nahlen Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.0%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
14.5%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
19.0%Frequent mental distress
33.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nahlen Cove

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Conway eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Faulkner County average of 4.1 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05045031007

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05045031007?

Census tract 05045031007 in the Nahlen Cove neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05045031007?

Median gross rent is $1,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05045031007?

26.2% of residents in tract 05045031007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,953.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05045031007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 3th, minority 36th, housing 86th.

Is tract 05045031007 considered part of Nahlen Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05045031007 fall within Nahlen Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 05045031007 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05045031007 compare to Conway overall?

Tract 05045031007 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Conway at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conway

Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.