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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Brownwood Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock

Tract 05119002403 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 4,005 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 05119002403 sits in the Brownwood Terrace area of Little Rock eviction risk, AR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. Population here is 4,005. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 33% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,667
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$37,893

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Brownwood Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 58 tracts In Little Rock
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#21 of 107 tracts In Pulaski County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.7326, -92.3681 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brownwood Terrace scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Rock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,105 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Rock
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Rock
2.0

How Brownwood Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brownwood Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0024033.3Little Rockparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brownwood Terrace

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $37,893, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 31.0% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. It sits 0.8 points above the Pulaski County average of 3.9.

On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the AR average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119002403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119002403?

Census tract 05119002403 in the Brownwood Terrace neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05119002403?

Median gross rent is $1,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119002403?

23.6% of residents in tract 05119002403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,005.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119002403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 91th, minority 85th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 05119002403 considered part of Brownwood Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119002403 fall within Brownwood Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05119002403 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05119002403 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119002403 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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