Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Chesterfield Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Little Rock

Tract 05119001200 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 1,667 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Chesterfield Square area of Little Rock is where census tract 05119001200 sits, home to 1,667 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #53,439 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,316 a month against an average household income of $35,750 a year, roughly 44% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 36% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units425

Renter share61.6%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate28.9%

Median income$35,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.7247, -92.3133 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chesterfield Square scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Little Rock

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

28.9% poverty · this tract

7.2

Supply constraint

$1,316 rent vs county FMR

7.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Little Rock

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Little Rock

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Little Rock

2.0

How Chesterfield Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
28%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.2%Housing insecurity
23.7%Utility-shutoff threat
39.5%Food insecurity
28.2%SNAP enrollment
19.8%Transit barriers
27.7%No health insurance
19.6%Frequent mental distress
44.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chesterfield Square

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pulaski County average of 4.5 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119001200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119001200?

Census tract 05119001200 in the Chesterfield Square neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05119001200?

Median gross rent is $1,316/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119001200?

28.9% of residents in tract 05119001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,667.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 45th, minority 81th, housing 54th.

Is tract 05119001200 considered part of Chesterfield Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119001200 fall within Chesterfield Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 05119001200 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05119001200 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119001200 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 05119001200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.