Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Berkeley Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06001422901 · Alameda, CA · pop 2,024 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 06001422901 sits in the Downtown Berkeley eviction risk area of Berkeley eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. Population here is 2,024. Annualized rent equals 60% of average household income of $41,902, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 56% Owners 2%

Tract context

Occupied units869

Renter share98.6%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate45.3%

Median income$41,902

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Berkeley and the region

Centroid at 37.8657, -122.2679 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Berkeley scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Berkeley

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

45.3% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$2,078 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Berkeley

7.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Berkeley

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Berkeley

7.5

How Downtown Berkeley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
19%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Berkeley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.3%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
23.4%Food insecurity
21.3%SNAP enrollment
13.9%Transit barriers
7.6%No health insurance
21.8%Frequent mental distress
31.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Berkeley

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10.

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.

Average gross rent is $2,078, close to the Berkeley average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001422901

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001422901?

Census tract 06001422901 in the Downtown Berkeley neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001422901?

Median gross rent is $2,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001422901?

45.3% of residents in tract 06001422901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,024.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001422901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 1th, minority 73th, housing 93th.

Is tract 06001422901 considered part of Downtown Berkeley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001422901 fall within Downtown Berkeley (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001422901 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001422901 compare to Berkeley overall?

Tract 06001422901 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001422901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley

Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.