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Neighborhood · Berkeley, CA

Downtown Berkeley Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 5,046 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Downtown Berkeley takes in 2 census tracts of Berkeley, CA and houses 5,046 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 9.9/10, High tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.8/10.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The poverty rate is 41%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Berkeley rate of 34.0%. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10.

At $1,951 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Berkeley commands. That places it #1 of 22 neighborhoods in Berkeley. For a like-for-like read, LeConte and Northside score within a fraction of it.

Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.9
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Berkeley vs Berkeley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.3% +36%
Berkeley: 34.0%
Average gross rent
$1,951 -9%
Berkeley: $2,133
Average HH income
$55,906 -49%
Berkeley: $108,558
Poverty rate
41.3% +146%
Berkeley: 16.8%
Renter share
99.4% +78%
Berkeley: 55.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Berkeley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Downtown Berkeley scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
99% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
41.3% below poverty line · Range 9.7–10.0 across tracts
9.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.7 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Downtown Berkeley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Berkeley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown Berkeley: 9.99.9Downtown BerkeleyNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Downtown Berkeley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001422902 9.9 3,022 49% $1,866
06001422901 9.9 2,024 43% $2,078
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Berkeley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown Berkeley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Berkeley?

Downtown Berkeley scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Berkeley compare to Berkeley overall?

Downtown Berkeley scores 1.3 points higher than Berkeley overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,951 vs $2,133.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Berkeley?

Average gross rent in Downtown Berkeley eviction risk is $1,951/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Berkeley residents are renters?

99% of Downtown Berkeley households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Berkeley). The neighborhood has 5,046 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Berkeley a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Berkeley sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown Berkeley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Berkeley is census tract 06001422902 (score 9.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown Berkeley for landlords?

Downtown Berkeley eviction risk carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Berkeley as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Berkeley?

Downtown Berkeley has 4,259 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (44.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.8%), Other / Multiracial (11.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Berkeley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Berkeley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Berkeley.

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