Neighborhood · Ranked #947 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Berkeley Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06001422902 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,022 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Downtown Berkeley area of Berkeley anchors census tract 06001422902, which lands at 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,866 a month against an average household income of $65,285 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 51% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units1,335

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate38.7%

Median income$65,285

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Berkeley and the region

Centroid at 37.8688, -122.2698 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Berkeley scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Berkeley

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

38.7% poverty · this tract

9.7

Supply constraint

$1,866 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Berkeley

7.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Berkeley

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Berkeley

7.5

How Downtown Berkeley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

46%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Berkeley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.9%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
19.8%Food insecurity
18.5%SNAP enrollment
12.2%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
20.5%Frequent mental distress
28.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Berkeley

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Berkeley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Alameda County average of 5.8 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001422902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001422902?

Census tract 06001422902 in the Downtown Berkeley neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001422902?

Median gross rent is $1,866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001422902?

38.7% of residents in tract 06001422902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,022.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001422902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 3th, minority 79th, housing 97th.

Is tract 06001422902 considered part of Downtown Berkeley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001422902 fall within Downtown Berkeley (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001422902 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001422902 compare to Berkeley overall?

Tract 06001422902 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001422902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley

Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.